Cori Gauff vs Aryna Sabalenka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent second serve performance, Sabalenka edges out Gauff slightly with 39.45% of points won, opposed to Gauff's 38.57%.
• Gauff outshines Sabalenka in return stats, winning 53.49% of opponents' second serve points compared to 48.93% by Sabalenka. Could this be the decisive factor?
• For first serve returns, both players perform almost equally, with Gauff slightly ahead at 29.9% compared to Sabalenka's 29.68%.
• Under pressure, Sabalenka saves 52.91% of breakpoints, better than Gauff's 46.52%—a critical element in high-pressure matches.
• Over the last year, Sabalenka has a higher overall win rate of 84.81% in matches played, while Gauff stands at 76.06%.
• Their head-to-head record is even, with each player having won 5 matches. Sabalenka has won 13 sets to Gauff's 12.
• Sabalenka has the edge on hard courts with a 74% win rate, while Gauff's best is on clay at 73%.
• When matches go the distance, Gauff has a 73% success rate in deciding sets, superior to Sabalenka's 63%.
• Sabalenka has faced higher-ranked opponents on average, with a rank of 36.82, while Gauff faced players ranked around 48.27.
• In breakpoint conversion, Gauff excels with a 45.24% success rate compared to Sabalenka's 34.01%—a crucial statistic for capitalizing on opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (June 5, 2025, UTC):

This upcoming match promises to be highly competitive, with both Sabalenka and Gauff exhibiting strong performances in recent times. Sabalenka's slight superiority in second serve performance and composure under pressure might give her an edge in pivotal moments.

However, Gauff's excellent return game and higher breakpoint conversion rate could tilt the balance in her favor, especially if she capitalizes on those opportunities effectively.

Their head-to-head record is evenly split, and with both players extremely close in overall performance, this match could likely go the distance.

With Gauff demonstrating a better win rate in deciding sets and facing lower-ranked opponents historically, her ability to remain resilient could prove to be decisive. Given the data, Gauff seems slightly favored to win this closely contested match, but it will be a tight battle.